![]() UGA can’t stop the run, ranking 106th in EPA per Rush allowed. Meanwhile, the Tide have covered six of their past eight.Īlabama could be a tad undervalued after its embarrassing performance against Auburn, but that was the ultimate bounce-back spot for War Eagle, who was coming off an embarrassing loss to New Mexico State. Jalen Milroe USA TODAY Sports via Reuters Con They’ve allowed almost every team to keep it close, especially the ones that shouldn’t have. ![]() Our Action PRO model projects Georgia as only a three-point neutral-field favorite over Alabama. Georgia shouldn’t be favored by five and a half against a surging Alabama team. The pick: Louisville +1.5 Alabama (+5.5) over Georgia I hope they lose so we can avoid the “12-0 FSU without Jordan Travis” Playoff arguments. It’s a bad matchup for a reeling Seminoles squad. The Cardinals rank 18th in Rush Success Rate. That’s good news for Louisville, which sets up its offense by establishing Jawhar Jordan on the ground. Meanwhile, Florida State’s defensive weakness is on the ground, ranking 70th in EPA per Rush allowed. They mustered 90 rushing yards at 2.9 YPC last week. ![]() Even worse, they don’t have a ground attack to fall back on, ranking 107th in Rush Success Rate.
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